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In the absence of such an event, the OECD's Economic Outlook predicted positive growth in the eurozone for 2012 as a whole of 0.2%, despite a shallow recession in the period September 2011 to March 2012.
BBC: OECD warns of European recession
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In its recent Economic Outlook the OECD revised down expectations for 2008 growth in virtually every country.
ECONOMIST: A collaboration over the credit crisis
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According to a chapter in this latest OECD Economic Outlook (in which it saw a risk of stagflation for the global recovery), 60% of the 260-odd recent examples of countries receiving large inflows of capital have ended in a sudden and destabilising way, and one in 10 have ended in either a currency crisis or a banking one (maybe both).
BBC: IMF follows the money in Brazil