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The Forecast Model builds upon the output of the Stock Valuation Model and combines this data with econometric and simulation techniques to output target prices for one, three, and six-month and one, two, and three-year time horizons.
FORBES: It's Time To Sell Strength To Risky Levels
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In Fall of 2009, we did just that and retrained a model using CDC ILI data from 2003 through summer of 2009 as the target.
FORBES: How Accurate Is Google Flu Trends?
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Typically, these are motivated by a conspicuous success, a development program that was driven by the strength of beautiful molecular data, and the canonical example these days is PCSK9, a target which seems to feature an almost unprecedented alignment of human genetics, biomarker, and animal model data.
FORBES: Strategy: Why Big Pharmas Do What They Do -- And How Silicon Valley Might Help Them Think Differently