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There is a 65 percent probability of an above-normal season and an overall 90 percent chance the season will be normal or above, the agency said.
CNN: Few coast dwellers ready for a hurricane, poll shows
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Perhaps there are probability distributions which give the appearance of being normal distributions, but in fact are not.
FORBES: Christmas, Kurtosis, Fat Tails, Black Swans And Risk Management, Pt. 2
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If it were all normal, there would be far less collapse, and in all probability no galaxies (so, once again, no humans).
ECONOMIST: Astronomy